Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.070042 0.081541 0.094256 0.109349 0.126767 0.146228 0.169613
2024-10-20 0.050266 0.064845 0.082598 0.105765 0.135159 0.171170 0.218601
2024-10-27 0.038447 0.053866 0.074148 0.102691 0.141729 0.193151 0.265930
2024-11-03 0.032269 0.048428 0.071094 0.105045 0.154440 0.223487 0.327119
2024-11-10 0.028446 0.045313 0.070316 0.109837 0.170463 0.259620 0.400284
2024-11-17 0.024953 0.041939 0.068406 0.112304 0.182906 0.291522 0.470653
2024-11-24 0.021756 0.038420 0.065598 0.112713 0.191831 0.318655 0.536402
2024-12-01 0.019005 0.035145 0.062615 0.112227 0.198937 0.343301 0.600522
2024-12-08 0.016589 0.032044 0.059422 0.110811 0.204057 0.364902 0.661570
2024-12-15 0.015292 0.030750 0.059165 0.114423 0.218196 0.403097 0.755067
2024-12-22 0.014112 0.029486 0.058756 0.117623 0.231828 0.441643 0.853101
2024-12-29 0.013167 0.028531 0.058773 0.121564 0.247182 0.484720 0.963771
2025-01-05 0.012205 0.027434 0.058432 0.124879 0.261965 0.528765 1.082064
2025-01-12 0.010670 0.024897 0.054862 0.121216 0.262450 0.545462 1.149184
2025-01-19 0.009370 0.022673 0.051637 0.117820 0.263005 0.562234 1.218126
2025-01-26 0.008728 0.021842 0.051283 0.120540 0.276749 0.607133 1.349608
2025-02-02 0.008350 0.021574 0.052134 0.126023 0.297099 0.667842 1.520761
2025-02-09 0.007818 0.020850 0.051844 0.128844 0.311794 0.717899 1.673980
2025-02-16 0.007190 0.019791 0.050624 0.129311 0.321115 0.757075 1.807053
2025-02-23 0.006571 0.018655 0.049067 0.128756 0.327936 0.791277 1.932287
2025-03-02 0.005961 0.017452 0.047182 0.127139 0.331979 0.819460 2.046379
2025-03-09 0.005693 0.017145 0.047539 0.131265 0.350674 0.883834 2.252777
2025-03-16 0.005420 0.016784 0.047709 0.134918 0.368577 0.948057 2.465191